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5.4 Risk Analysis & Scenario Planning

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Module 5: Financial Modeling – Expanded » 5.4 Risk Analysis & Scenario Planning

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1. Sensitivity Tables (Data Tables)

  • Varying 2 inputs simultaneously:

    • Revenue growth vs. EBITDA margin

    • WACC vs. terminal growth

2. Monte Carlo Simulations

  • Using @RISK or Native Excel:

    excel
  • =NORM.INV(RAND(), Mean_Growth, StdDev)  // Revenue simulation

  • Output analysis:

    • Probability of negative FCF

    • 90% confidence IRR range

Biotech Application:

  • Modeling FDA approval probability impact

Added on July 08, 2025
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Course Overview Module 1: Foundations of Spreadsheet Mastery – Expanded Module 2: Advanced Formulas & Functions – Expanded Module 3: Data Visualization & Business Intelligence – Expanded Module 4: Automation & Efficiency – Expanded Module 5: Financial Modeling – Expanded Module 6: Collaboration & Enterprise – Expanded Capstone Module: Real-World Mastery Projects
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